Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics (April 23, 2025): 3 Things to Watch, Odds, and Prediction

The Orlando Magic try to even their series with the Boston Celtics and get themselves back on track. With Jayson Tatum DOUBTFUL to play, the Magic have an opportunity to climb back into the series.
Jayson Tatum has been downgraded to doubtful for Wednesday's game against the Orlando Magic. That could have a major impact on the series.
Jayson Tatum has been downgraded to doubtful for Wednesday's game against the Orlando Magic. That could have a major impact on the series. | Eric Canha-Imagn Images

Orlando Magic vs. Boston Celtics: Stats and 3 Keys to Watch

Orlando

Playoffs

Boston

87.0

Pace

87.0

98.9

Off. Rtg.

118.4

118.4

Def. Rtg.

98.9

48.1

eFG%

54.9

32.0

O.Reb.%

32.6

17.2

TO%

12.6

13.6

FTR

22.0

3. Finding free throws

There were several outliers that occurred during the Orlando Magic's Game 1 loss to the Boston Celtics. The Celtics getting 26 fast-break points and the Magic giving up 26 fast-break points were two of the biggest outliers from the game.

The Magic struggled to score. Turnovers were a big part of that. But the biggest thing they were missing was their ability to get to the foul line.

Orlando was second in the league in free-throw rate during the season. The Magic made up the deficit of their poor shooting and sometimes anemic offense by getting to the foul line. It is a key part of the game.

Yet, the Magic had the worst free-throw rate of any team through the first game of each series, with a 13.6 percent free-throw rate. They had only 11 free throw attempts in the game. Considering Orlando averaged 23.0 free throw attempts per game in the regular season, this is essentially 10 points the Magic left on the board.

Boston does a good job not fouling—the team ranked first in the league with a 19.8 percent free-throw rate allowed. But the Magic must find a way to get to the foul line. It is essential to their offense.

That will be doubly important. With both teams signaling they want to be more aggressive and the Celtics saying they are upset with the hard foul Kentavious Caldwell-Pope put on Jayson Tatum that left Tatum's status uncertain, the officials are likely to have a tight whistle to nip any problems in the bud.

2. Turnovers affect everything

The Orlando Magic are the ones climbing uphill in this series. They are the ones trying to make up ground. The Boston Celtics put a lot of stress even on one of the best defenses in the league. They are going to score at times even when the Magic do things well.

So the one thing Orlando cannot do is allow mistakes to compound or to give away possessions.

The biggest factor in Game 1 then was the turnovers. The Magic failed to fore many turnovers, scoring eight points off 11 Celtics turnovers. And they turned it over 15 times for 24 Celtics points.

That affects everything because it is allows the Celtics to go up against the Magic before they can set their defense. Orlando must set its defense to have a chance to slow Boston down.

Simply put, Orlando cannot make mistakes and hand possessions to Boston to have a chance to win. The Magic must keep their turnovers down. That cost them in Game 1.

1. 3-point solution?

Three-point shooting was a concern for both teams entering the series. The Orlando Magic knew they could not afford to give up a ton of threes to the shot-happy Boston Celtics. The Celtics were trying to find a way to get three-pointers, considering the Magic give up the fewest threes in the league.

Boston won that battle in many ways in Game 1.

The Celtics made 43.2 percent of their threes and 16 3-pointers in the game. Orlando had just 10, even though the team made 37.0 percent of their threes.

Boston even solved how to get threes. The Celtics took 45.1 percent of their field goal attempts from three despite shooting only 37 attempts. Boston was at 41.9 percent of their field goal atempts as threes.

Despite the low score and low shot attempts, the Celtics found and hunted threes. Orlando lost composure in transition and a bit in the half-court to prevent these threes. The Magic will need to be better and chase the Celtics off the 3-point line and into the mid-range.

Orlando Magic vs. Boston Celtics: Injury Report & Projected Lineups

Orlando Magic Injury Report

  • Jalen Suggs - OUT (Left Knee Trochlea Cartilage Tear)
  • Moe Wagner - OUT (Left Knee Torn ACL)

Boston Celtics Injury Report

  • Jayson Tatum - DOUBTFUL (Right Distal Radius Bone Bruise)

Projected Lineups

Orlando

Boston

Cory Joseph

PG

Jrue Holiday

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SG

Derrick White

Franz Wagner

SF

Jaylen Brown

Paolo Banchero

PF

Al Horford

Wendell Carter

C

Kristaps Porzingis

Orlando Magic vs. Boston Celtics: Prediction

Our Record: 47-37/42-42 ATS

The Boston Celtics are a challenge. Even if they are without Jayson Tatum, the Celtics still have all the firepower and 3-point shooting to cause teams problems. Not to mention excellent defense. The Celtics will still be a tough puzzle to solve.

After all, the Celtics went 8-2 in the 10 games Tatum sat this year.

Both of those losses came to the Magic. The win in December came without Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner and included a 17-point ceomback.

Orlando can indeed find the formula to win. With Jaylen Brown still recovering from a knee injury, the Celtics are not at full power. That is even considering both Brown and Tatum struggled in Game 1.

The question remains whether Orlando can score enough and find the assistant for its stars it needs to win. That is not a guarantee. The Magic can still struggle a ton on offense.

Orlando will need to control the tempo and score if it wants to take advantage of this opportunity. It almost feels like the Magic must win this game if Tatum is going to miss it.

Schedule