Clues about the 2016-2017 Orlando Magic via Basketball Reference

Mar 29, 2016; Orlando, FL, USA; Orlando Magic guard Elfrid Payton (4) drives to the basket as Brooklyn Nets forward Willie Reed (33) attempted to defend during the second half at Amway Center. Orlando Magic defeated the Brooklyn Nets 139-105. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
Mar 29, 2016; Orlando, FL, USA; Orlando Magic guard Elfrid Payton (4) drives to the basket as Brooklyn Nets forward Willie Reed (33) attempted to defend during the second half at Amway Center. Orlando Magic defeated the Brooklyn Nets 139-105. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
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Serge Ibaka, Oklahoma City Thunder, Jonas Jerebko, Detroit Pistons
Nov 14, 2014; Oklahoma City, OK, USA; Oklahoma City Thunder forward Serge Ibaka (9) drives to the basket against Detroit Pistons forward Jonas Jerebko (33) during the second quarter at Chesapeake Energy Arena. Mandatory Credit: Mark D. Smith-USA TODAY Sports

Reports of my demise, may not be true

Headline: Serge Ibaka will recover some of his old form

Statistics: Ibaka projected for 0.12 WS/48 (last year: 0.105) and 34.7 3P% (last year: 32.6%)

Serge Ibaka

2016-17 Projection Table
Per 36 Minutes Shooting
Season Age Lg FG FGA 3P 3PA FT FTA ORB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS FG% 3P% FT% WS/48
2016-17 27 NBA 6.2 12.8 0.9 2.7 1.5 1.9 2.2 8.1 1.1 0.6 2.3 1.6 3.1 14.9 .485 .347 .780 .120

Provided by Basketball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/22/2016.

Interpretation:

By most metrics, Serge Ibaka’s level of play has been declining for the better part of the last two years. But he should be ready to bounce back, and not just because he will be playing for a new contract.

Reports are he was unhappy last year in Oklahoma City because of a reduced role in the offense, which probably also affected his appetite for the defensive “dirty” work he is known for.

If he indeed plays in a more engaged manner this year, he should combine with Bismack Biyombo to form one of the most terrifying defensive front courts in the league. And an uptick in win shares would be no surprise.

Offensively, he is expected to increase his 3-point percentage by about two points from last year, and at about 35 percent, he would return to being a long-range threat that defenses will have to respect.